Despite being five points behind Arsenal, Mirror Football's supercomputer has predicted that Manchester City will retain their Premier League title.
Erling Haaland has been added to City, who edged Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool to the title by a single point last season. The Norwegian forward has already scored an astounding 25 league goals in just 20 outings. With one game remaining, Mikel Arteta's Arsenal team leads the Premier League by five points above City.
The arrival of former City has buoyed them stars Oleksandr Zinchenko and Gabriel Jesus, who have helped fire the Gunners into a commanding lead as we begin the second half of the season. But despite Arsenal’s dominance, Mirror Football’s supercomputer has predicted they will slip up, handing Pep Guardiola's City another title.
The supercomputer, which ran 500 simulations of the remaining Premier League fixtures based on results so far, gave City a 33 percent chance of retaining the title, while Arsenal are expected to finish second with only a 27 per cent chance of winning the league. Both sides are deemed shoo-ins for the top four, with City given an 82 per cent chance and Arsenal a 73 per cent.
While they may be languishing in ninth place at the moment, Liverpool are predicted to bounce back towards the end of the season and are the third favourites for the title according to the simulation, at 21 percent with a 67 per cent chance of making the top four.
Manchester United have a 41 per cent chance of Champions League qualification, just ahead of high-flying Brighton on 31 per cent, though the simulation actually gives the Seagulls a better chance of lifting the title than Erik ten Hag’s men, at five per cent compared to four per cent for the Red Devils.
Currently in tenth place, Chelsea splashed out more than £250million in the January transfer window in an effort to rescue their season, and have been given a 21 per cent chance of recovering enough to make the top four. That puts the Blues below Newcastle (25 per cent) and Tottenham (22 per cent) for top-four probability, though many Magpies fans might expect their chances to be higher after their superb first half of the season which leaves them third.
At the other end of the table, Southampton, Everton and Bournemouth are the three sides predicted to go down, with the Saints relegation favourites at 45 percent, ahead of the Toffees at 43 percent and the Cherries on 41 percent.
Nottingham Forest are also flirting with the bottom three, as the supercomputer gives them a 33 percent chance of relegation, while Wolves have a 22 percent chance.